Rationale and protocol for a prospective cohort study of respiratory viral infections in patients admitted from emergency departments of community hospitals: Effect of respiratory Virus infection on EmeRgencY admission (EVERY) study.

INTRODUCTION: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a causative virus for the common cold worldwide and can result in hospitalisations and even death in patients with high-risk conditions and older adults. However, the relationship between RSV or other incidental respiratory infections and acute exacerbations of underlying conditions has not been well investigated. The primary objective of this study is to estimate RSV prevalence, risk factors for adverse outcomes or hospitalisation and their effect on the hospital course of patients with acute respiratory symptoms admitted from emergency departments. Furthermore, we evaluate the prevalence of other respiratory viruses associated with respiratory symptoms. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We are conducting a multicentre prospective cohort study in Japan. We plan to enrol 3000 consecutive patients admitted from emergency departments with acute respiratory symptoms or signs from 1 July 2023 to 30 June 2024. A nasopharyngeal swab is obtained within 24 hours of admission and the prevalence of RSV and other respiratory viruses is measured using the FilmArray Respiratory 2.1 panel. Paired serum samples are collected from patients with suspected lower respiratory infections to measure RSV antibodies at admission and 30 days later. Information on patients' hospital course is retrieved from the electronic medical records at discharge, death or 30 days after admission. Furthermore, information on readmission to the hospital and all-cause mortality is collected 180 days after admission. We assess the differences in clinical outcomes between patients with RSV or other respiratory viruses and those without, adjusting for baseline characteristics. Clinical outcomes include in-hospital mortality, length of hospital stay, disease progression, laboratory tests and management of respiratory symptoms or underlying conditions. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study protocol was approved by the institutional review boards of participating hospitals. Our study reports will be published in academic journals as well as international meetings. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05913700.

Trend in antibiotic prescription at pediatric primary emergency medical centers in Japan: A multi-center, cross-sectional study.

INTRODUCTION: Antimicrobial resistance is a global issue, and implementation of antimicrobial stewardship programs in outpatient settings is crucial. Japan has also focused on outpatient oral antimicrobial stewardship programs and difficulties in standardizing prescriptions have led to overprescription in primary emergency medical centers. There is a lack of research investigating the antibiotic prescription status of pediatric primary emergency medical centers and the benchmark prescription rates in pediatric outpatient settings. METHODS: We conducted a multi-center, cross-sectional study of seven pediatric primary emergency medical centers located in five prefectures of Japan. We retrospectively extracted data from health claims or directly obtained them from charts at each institution and evaluated trends in the antibiotic prescription rate based on the AWaRe classification between April 2016 and December 2019. RESULTS: Our study included 383,525 encounters, with the most common infectious disease diagnosis being acute upper respiratory tract infection in 93,449 cases (24.4 %). The antibiotic prescription rate during the study period was 7.4 %, representing a decrease of 46 %, from 10.2 % in 2016 to 5.5 % in 2019. The percentage of prescriptions in the Access group increased at all institutions; however, it exceeded 60 % in only three facilities in 2019. The percentage of third-generation cephalosporins varied among facilities, ranging from 1.7 % to 59.4 %, as of 2019. CONCLUSIONS: For pediatric primary emergency medical centers where antimicrobial stewardship programs are implemented, we suggest 5 % as a reasonable benchmark level for the antibiotic prescription rate. Prescribing the antibiotics in the Access groups less frequently remains a domestic challenge in Japan.

Monitoring for adverse drug events of high-risk medications with a computerized clinical decision support system: a prospective cohort study.

Monitoring is recommended to prevent severe adverse drug events, but such examinations are often missed. To increase the number of monitoring that should be ordered for high-risk medications, we introduced a clinical decision support system (CDSS) that alerts and orders the monitoring for high-risk medications in an outpatient setting. We conducted a 2-year prospective cohort study at a tertiary care teaching hospital before (phase 1) and after (phase 2) the activation of a CDSS. The CDSS automatically provided alerts for liver function tests for vildagliptin, thyroid function tests for immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and multikinase inhibitors (MKIs), and a slit-lamp examination of the eyes for oral amiodarone when outpatients were prescribed the medications but not examined for a fixed period. The order of laboratory tests automatically appeared if alert was accepted. The alerts were hidden and did not appear on the display before activation of the CDSS. The outcomes were the number of prescriptions with alerts and examinations. During the study period, 330 patients in phase 1 and 307 patients in phase 2 were prescribed vildagliptin, 20 patients in phase 1 and 19 patients in phase 2 were prescribed ICIs or MKIs, and 72 patients in phase 1 and 66 patients in phase 2 were prescribed oral amiodarone. The baseline characteristics were similar between the phases. In patients prescribed vildagliptin, the proportion of alerts decreased significantly (38% vs 27%, P < 0.0001), and the proportion of examinations increased significantly (0.9% vs 4.0%, P < 0.0001) after activation of the CDSS. In patients prescribed ICIs or MKIs, the proportion of alerts decreased significantly (43% vs 11%, P < 0.0001), and the proportion of examinations increased numerically, but not significantly (2.6% vs 7.0%, P = 0.13). In patients prescribed oral amiodarone, the proportion of alerts decreased (86% vs 81%, P = 0.055), and the proportion of examinations increased (2.2% and 3.0%, P = 0.47); neither was significant. The CDSS has potential to increase the monitoring for high-risk medications. Our study also highlighted the limited acceptance rate of monitoring by CDSS. Further studies are needed to explore the generalizability to other medications and the cause of the limited acceptance rates among physicians.

Impact of anemia on major bleeding in patients taking oral anticoagulants for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

Background: Anemia is encountered in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) on oral anticoagulants (OACs) but the prognostic impact was not well scrutinized in real-world settings. Methods: We conducted a historical multicenter registry of patients with NVAF taking OACs at 71 centers in Japan. Those with mechanical heart valves or a history of pulmonary thrombosis or deep venous thrombosis were excluded. Anemic patients were divided into three groups of hemoglobin (Hb) level: moderate/severe (Hb < 11.0 g/dL), mild (men: Hb of 11.0-12.9 g/dL; women: Hb of 11.0-11.9 g/dL), and no anemia. The endpoints included major bleeding, hemorrhagic stroke, ischemic events, ischemic stroke, and all-cause mortality. Results: Among 7558 consecutive patients (mean age, 73 years; men 67%) registered in February 2013 and followed until February 2017, 2100 (28%) patients had anemia. The anemic patients were older (moderate/severe: 79 years; mild: 77 years; no anemia: 71 years, p < .001), and HAS-BLED score was significantly higher in the anemic patients (p < .001). The cumulative incidences at 4 years of major bleeding in moderate/severe, mild, and no anemia group, were 14.9%, 10.7%, and 6.4%, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidential intervals (CIs)) of major bleeding of moderate/severe and mild anemia group were 1.96 (1.49-2.58) and 1.48 (1.17-1.87) compared to no anemia group. The adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for ischemic events were 0.63 (0.39-0.99) and 1.03 (0.76-1.39). Conclusions: The severity of anemia in the patients with NVAF on OACs was associated with major bleeding.

Association between body mass index and long-term clinical outcomes in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation taking oral anticoagulants.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The association between body mass index (BMI) and clinical outcomes of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) taking oral anticoagulants (OACs) are controversial, and we thus analyzed the large registry data to elucidate them. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a historical cohort study at 71 centers in Japan and included outpatients with NVAF taking vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). Physicians in charge could change VKAs to direct OACs based on their judgement during follow-up period. We categorized patients into four BMI groups (kg/m2): underweight (BMI < 18.5), normal weight (18.5 ≤ BMI < 25), overweight (25 ≤ BMI < 30), and obese (30 ≤ BMI). The effects of each BMI group relative to the normal weight group on clinical outcomes consisting of all-cause death, ischemic events, and bleeding events were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for potential confounders. We also constructed restricted cubic spline regression model adjusted by multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. We included 6927 patients consisting of an underweight (n = 386), normal weight (n = 3785), overweight (n = 2174), and obese (n = 582) groups. The median follow-up period was 3.9 years. In the underweight group, the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause death and ischemic events were 1.75 (1.30-2.34) and 1.61 (1.04-2.50). The HR for all-cause death was 0.63 (0.49-0.82) in the overweight group. Restricted cubic spline regression models confirmed that lower BMI showed significantly higher risks for all-cause death and ischemic events. CONCLUSION: Among NVAF patients taking OACs, underweight patients had higher risks of all-cause death and ischemic events than other patients. Overweight patients had lower risk of all-cause death.

Statins Reduce Bleeding Risk in Patients Taking Oral Anticoagulants for Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation: A Retrospective Registry Study.

BACKGROUND: The effects of statins in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) taking oral anticoagulants (OACs) are not well-studied. This study was a historical multicenter registry of patients with NVAF taking OACs in Japan. METHODS: We excluded those patients with mechanical heart valves or a history of pulmonary or deep vein thrombosis. Overall, 7826 patients were registered on 26 February 2013 and followed until 25 February 2017. We compared those with versus without statin treatment (statin vs. no-statin groups) for the primary outcome of major bleeding and secondary outcomes of all-cause mortality, ischemic events, hemorrhagic stroke, and ischemic stroke. RESULTS: Statins were administered in 2599 (33%) patients. The statin group was more likely to have paroxysmal AF (37% vs. 33%; p = 0.0003), hypertension (84% vs. 76%; p < 0.0001), diabetes mellitus (41% vs. 27%; p < 0.0001), and dyslipidemia (91% vs. 30%; p < 0.0001) than the no-statin group. The cumulative incidence of major bleeding was 6.9% and 8.1% (p = 0.06). The adjusted hazard ratio [HR] (95% confidence interval [CI]) of the statin group for major bleeding was 0.77 (0.63-0.94) compared with the no-statin group. The adjusted HR (95% CI) for all-cause mortality, ischemic events, hemorrhagic stroke, and ischemic stroke were 0.58 (0.47-0.71), 0.77 (0.59-0.999), 0.85 (0.48-1.50), and 0.79 (0.60-1.05), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Statins significantly reduced the risk of major bleeding, all-cause mortality, and ischemic events in patients with NVAF taking OACs. Their additive benefits should be considered in routine practice and thus be further researched.

Association between Acid-Suppressive Drugs and Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation.

PURPOSE: Acid-suppressive drugs (ASDs) are often prescribed for patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) taking oral anticoagulants (OACs). However, the risk-benefit balance of ASDs prescription for patients with NVAF taking OACs is still unclear. This study aimed to assess the association between ASDs and clinical outcomes in patients taking OACs for NVAF. METHODS: This study is a subanalysis of an historical registry study from 71 centers in Japan. We included patients taking vitamin K antagonists for NVAF and excluded those with mechanical heart valves or a history of pulmonary thrombosis or deep vein thrombosis. We registered consecutive patients in February 2013 and followed them up until February 2017. The primary outcomes were ischemic events, major bleedings, and all-cause mortality. Ischemic stroke, acute myocardial infarction, and hemorrhagic stroke comprised the secondary outcomes. RESULTS: We included 7826 patients with a mean age of 73 years, 5274 (67%) of whom were males. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for ischemic events, major bleedings, and all-cause mortality in the ASD group compared with the no-ASD group were 0.998 (0.78-1.27), 0.98 (0.81-1.18), and 1.22 (1.02-1.47), respectively, while those for ischemic stroke, acute myocardial infarction, and hemorrhagic stroke were 0.96 (0.74-1.24), 0.82 (0.36-1.88), and 1.17 (0.69-1.99), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: ASDs were significantly associated with all-cause mortality in patients with NVAF taking OACs.

Outcomes of Pediatric Patients in Secondary Transport to Tertiary Hospital: A Retrospective Observational Study.

OBJECTIVES: Emergency medical service (EMS) providers play an important role in determining which hospital to choose. To date, there is no evidence-based guideline to support their decisions, except for major trauma cases. Secondary transport is considered when a patient needs further investigation or treatment after primary transport, but this can delay treatment and put patients at unnecessary risk. The objective of this study was to investigate the outcomes of pediatric secondary transport patients to tertiary hospitals. METHODS: This was a citywide population-based observational study conducted in Kobe, Japan. We reviewed the EMS registry to identify secondary transport patients younger than 19 years and investigated their clinical characteristics. We excluded cases of unknown hospital destinations, nontransported cases, and major trauma patients who followed a different protocol for a hospital destination. The primary endpoint was the hospital outcome 12 hours after transport. Because there was no link between the EMS patient transport data and the hospital medical records, a probabilistic linkage was performed to obtain the hospital outcomes. Patients who required secondary transport were compared with patients transported directly to tertiary hospitals. RESULTS: A total of 13,720 pediatric patients were transported from the field by Kobe EMS between January 2013 and December 2015. Among them, 81 pediatric patients (0.6%) required secondary transport to tertiary hospitals within 24 hours of the primary transport, whereas a total of 3673 patients (27%) were transported directly to tertiary hospitals. Despite no apparent difference in prehospital severity, secondary transport patients were associated with higher hospitalization rates and a need for critical care compared with those who had direct transport. Seizure was the most common reason for the use of secondary transport, and 89% of the seizure patients were hospitalized after undergoing secondary transport; minor trauma was the second most common reason for the use of secondary transport, and 53% of the patients were hospitalized. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the characteristics of the secondary transport patients and hospital outcomes revealed a heterogeneity in pediatric prehospital transport. It is recommended that the development of pediatric EMS destination guidelines cover children's diverse conditions. Further studies are required, and linkages between prehospital and hospital data will help promote a better understanding of appropriate hospital destinations.

The association between prehospital vital signs of children and their critical clinical outcomes at hospitals.

Vital signs are important for patient assessment, but little is known about interpreting those of children in prehospital settings. We conducted an observational study to investigate the association between prehospital vital signs of children and their clinical outcomes in hospitals. We plotted the data of patients with critical outcomes on published reference ranges, such as those of healthy children to evaluate the clinical relevance. Of the 18,493 children screened, 4477 transported to tertiary hospitals were included in the analysis. The outcomes 12 h after being transported to a tertiary hospital were as follows: deceased, 41; hospitalization with critical deterioration events, 65; hospitalization without critical deterioration events, 1086; returned home, 3090; and unknown, 195. The reference ranges of the heart rates (sensitivity: 57.7%, specificity: 67.5%) and respiratory rates (sensitivity: 54.5%, specificity: 67.7%) of healthy children worked best to detect the critical outcomes. Therefore, the reference ranges of healthy children were concluded to be suitable in prehospital settings; however, excessive reliance on vital signs carried potential risks due to their limited sensitivities and specificities. Future studies are warranted to investigate indicators with higher sensitivities and specificities.

Association between dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers and ischemic strokes in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

Outside of clinical trials, the prophylactic effect of dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers (CCBs) on ischemic events in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) has not been confirmed. We compared the effect of dihydropyridine CCBs on ischemic events in anticoagulated NVAF patients. We conducted a multicenter historical cohort study at 71 centers in Japan. The inclusion criterion was taking vitamin K antagonists for NVAF. The exclusion criteria were mechanical heart valves and a history of pulmonary thrombosis or deep vein thrombosis. Consecutive patients (N = 7826) were registered in February 2013 and were followed until February 2017. The primary outcomes were ischemic events and ischemic strokes; the secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, major bleeding, and hemorrhagic strokes. The mean patient age was 73 years old, and 67% of the patients were male. Seventy-eight percent of the patients had hypertension, and dihydropyridine CCBs were used by 2693 (34%) patients (CCB group). The cumulative incidences of ischemic events and ischemic strokes at 4 years in the CCB and No-CCB groups were 5.9% vs. 5.2% and 5.6% vs. 4.8%, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) of the CCB group for ischemic events and ischemic strokes were 1.22 (0.95-1.57) and 1.32 (1.02-1.71), respectively; the adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of the CCB group for all-cause mortality, major bleeding, and hemorrhagic strokes were 0.85 (0.69-1.04), 1.12 (0.92-1.35), and 1.08 (0.62-1.88), respectively. Dihydropyridine CCB use by anticoagulated NVAF patients significantly increased ischemic strokes in a real-world setting.

Effect of current smoking on ischemic events in patients with atrial fibrillation taking vitamin K antagonist.

Purpose: We investigated the association between current smoking and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) prescribed vitamin K antagonist (VKA). Methods: We conducted a retrospective study at 71 centers in Japan. The inclusion criterion was taking a VKA for AF. Exclusion criteria were mechanical heart valves or history of pulmonary thrombosis or deep vein thrombosis. Consecutive patients were registered in February 2013 and followed until February 2017. The primary outcomes included ischemic events and major bleedings. The secondary outcomes were ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and all-cause mortality. Results: A total of 7826 patients were included, with a mean age of 73 years; 5274 (67%) were men. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs; 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) of current smokers relative to non-current smokers for ischemic events and major bleedings were 1.64 (1.05-2.57) and 1.09 (0.72-1.65), respectively. The adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of current smokers relative to non-current smokers for ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and all-cause mortality were 1.65 (1.03-2.64), 0.52 (0.12-2.15), and 1.26 (0.83-1.92), respectively. Conclusions: There were significant associations between current smoking and ischemic events or ischemic stroke in patients with AF on VKA.